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Experts predict that the heavy truck market will sell 480,000 vehicles this year, which greatly exceeds the forecast at the beginning of the year.
In January this year, the heavy-duty truck market continued its rapid growth in 2006, with 27,629 units sold in the month, an increase of 136.44% year-on-year; from January to October, monthly and monthly sales climbed. Among them, in April, heavy truck sales reached a record high of 53,929 units, an increase of 61.16% from the previous year (33,463 units); despite heavy truck market sales in August, "drilled" 36,267 units, also exceeded the monthly sales of heavy trucks in 2006, the highest value of 35,934 In September, sales rose again and successfully recovered 40,000 moving averages.
The macroeconomic environment of the heavy-duty truck market this year is not much good. However, from the above data, we can see that demand for the heavy-duty truck market has skyrocketed this year. Many market experts cannot explain or list the relevant factors such as fixed-asset investment and vehicle renewals. Export growth, substitution of middle-card products, and user demand variation, but are these key factors? What are the deep reasons that affect the "transactions" in the heavy truck market this year?
Weight-based charging has led to an expansion of demand for the heavy truck market. This is a simple arithmetic problem.
The "weight-based charging" regulation blocks users from making money by overloading. We know that if the weight of the original 60 tons of cargo before the implementation of a heavy truck can be pulled, and now they need 2 heavy trucks; heavy truck demand and therefore increased sales.
The increase in total cargo volume has increased the demand for heavy-duty trucks
According to statistics from the Ministry of Communications, since 2004, the domestic road transport volume and total turnover have all increased significantly. The total amount of freight and the demand for freight vehicles are in a "proportional" relationship. The total amount of freight determines the demand for heavy-duty freight vehicles. The growth rate of total freight volume will determine the speed of growth in demand for freight vehicles. According to the analysis of total freight volume indicators, the total freight volume in the country continues to grow at an annual growth rate of over 10%, which in turn drives the demand for new growth in the heavy truck market to over 10%.
According to calculations, as of September 2007, the domestic heavy-duty truck market has approximately 2.3 million vehicles. The static capacity of 2.3 million heavy trucks can be calculated, and it is absolutely proportional.
The demand for end-user car purchases, the heavy-duty truck market showed strong market demand, and heavy-duty truck companies exhibited “order contracts†such as snowstorms. In March and April of the first half of the year, it was known as the “demand peak season†for the heavy truck market. However, the inertia of the heavy truck market also pushed May to be the “peak seasonâ€.
People in the heavy truck industry basically know that there is a saying of “Golden 9 Silver 10â€. The reasons for the “Golden 9 Silver 10†may be different, and each has its own reasons. However, the most fundamental reason is that the freight rate has started to rise and the user demand has increased. After the tariff adjustments in June and July, in September, it basically recovered to a user-satisfactory pricing level. The desire of users to buy cars ignited. After fund preparation, effective demand was realized, heavy truck market orders began to increase, the peak season approached, and the heavy truck market showed strong demand. The "golden nine silver ten" situation.
Experts believe that, theoretically, the implementation of the toll-by-weight policy has more than doubled the total volume of road freight and brought more demand factors to the heavy-duty truck market. The demand for the heavy-duty truck market has doubled. Heavy-duty trucks are therefore also "full of overflowing," and production and sales are on the rise.
Weight-based charges stimulate the adjustment of product structure of heavy-duty truck companies
Reporters heard from many truck companies that they hope that the competent government departments will use the toll-by-weight method to supervise and supervise the work. The more thorough the governance and the more standardized the transportation market, the easier it will be for companies to arrange production according to market demand.
This year, the heavy truck market is expected to sell about 480,000 vehicles, which greatly exceeds the optimistic forecasts of heavy truck companies at the beginning of the year. It is understood that the three heavy truck companies on the Steyr platform have substantially raised their annual production and sales targets. China National Heavy Duty Truck Co., Ltd. has locked in 100,000 heavy truck production and sales this year (previously 80,000), Shaanxi Automobile has produced and sold 60,000 heavy trucks (previously 50,000), and Beiqi Foton has also adjusted its target to 60,000. According to optimistic estimates, this year's national heavy truck production and sales are estimated to be around 480,000 vehicles. While heavy truck companies are adjusting production and sales, they also indicate that the heavy truck market in the second half of this year will enter a white-hot period of competition.
After the implementation of toll-by-weight, the 6×2 model became a transitional hot-selling heavy truck. The suspension bridge is also widely used in the products of various truck manufacturers. The road transport is mainly sold by tractors. For example: 1+2+ 3 or 1+1+3 tractors.
In addition, “high-speed, fuel-efficient, lightweight trucks†suitable for highways will become the trend of heavy-duty trucks in the near future. Under the circumstance that the freight rate cannot be changed for the time being, the only way to maximize the user's revenue is to select the “heavy fuel, high duty, and convenient service†earning heavy trucks. The attendance rate of heavy trucks is determined by two factors: the first is the quality profile of the vehicle itself, and the second is the cycle of resuming operations after the vehicle failure.
With regard to the implementation of weight-based charging policies, many commercial vehicle manufacturers respond quickly. Many domestic commercial vehicle manufacturers have started to develop lightweight trucks when the weight-based charging policy is just beginning to be implemented.
Dongfeng Balong Heavy Truck introduced the advanced lightweight frame design concept of France to optimize the design of the original heavy frame structure. Improve the overall weight of the body while improving the material strength. If the tractor's original 306 mm double beam is changed to a 273 mm double beam frame, the vehicle's weight will be reduced by about 500 kg. China National Heavy Duty Truck developed the first double front steering axle 6×2 heavy-duty tractor in China. This model reduces a single drive axle when the bearing capacity is basically the same as that of a 6×4 model. Although there is one more steering axle than the 6×4 model, the weight of the steering axle is several hundred kilograms less than that of the drive axle.
In order to reduce the weight of the car, the technical personnel of the production companies use advanced materials to make the weight of the truck lighter in addition to the methods and structures of the vehicle. For example, aluminum alloys are used on vehicle rims, side fences, toolboxes, and frames. Industry experts pointed out that lightweight trucks are not only reflected in the thickness of steel plates, but many components can be improved by applying new technologies and materials. For example, coil clutches are commonly used in clutches of domestic trucks, while most European trucks use diaphragm springs, and their weights differ by more than half.
Reduced weight and increased income
Road transport users can basically be divided into two categories: ordinary users (most of them) and dedicated line users. The characteristics of ordinary users are as follows: The driving route is basically on the highway or national highway, and the national automobile transportation policy is strictly implemented. The characteristics of green transport users: Take provincial highways as the mainstay, and the national highways will be used as supplements instead of highways.
The new toll-by-weight standard encourages logistics companies to carry out normal loading through preferential rates, and imposes heavier penalties for overloaded transport vehicles. Some logistics companies have reported that after the implementation of toll-by-weight charges, the transportation costs of logistics companies are on the rise.
Another logistics company believes that the practice of overloading in the past has been impracticable after the implementation of weight-based charges. Strengthening management, increasing freight rates, and buying new types of trucks that meet market demand are solutions to the rising costs. According to a person in charge of a logistics company, the tolls of different vehicles have risen and fall after the implementation of weight-based charges. Judging from the current situation, light and medium-sized trucks that engage in inter-zone and intra-city transportation are less affected, and large-scale trucks engaged in long-distance transportation are more affected. In the same weight-carrying vehicle, under the principle of charging the vehicle with the total weight of its own light weight car, it can carry more cargo and consume less fuel than its own weight. The heavy weight of large trucks can reduce weight-based toll charges and increase transportation profits. The user's requirement for reducing the use cost of transport vehicles reflects the need for lightweight trucks with their own weight. Reporter Xi Xiumei Correspondent Gong Yunan
Super and weight charging process
On April 30th, 2004, the Ministry of Communications, the Ministry of Public Security, the National Development and Reform Commission, the General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine, the Safety Administration, the State Administration for Industry and Commerce, and the State Council Legislative Affairs Office jointly issued the "Implementation Plan for the Implementation of Vehicle Overrun and Overload Control in China." Seven ministries and commissions nationwide carried out work on overloading and overloading freight motor vehicles.
Since mid-May 2004, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Communications, and the Ministry of Public Security have been working on resuming the standard tonnage of vehicles with “large-tonnage and small-scale†vehicles throughout the country and hope to complete them within the year.
Leading the General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine (AQSIQ), publicized the standards for "Outline size, axle load and quality limit of road vehicles" published on April 1, 2004. All relevant departments are required to take measures and conscientiously implement them. In particular, all automobile manufacturers must strictly follow the above-mentioned national mandatory standards and regulate the production behavior of vehicles, and eliminate the phenomenon of “large tonnage and small scale†of vehicles from the source.
From mid-May 2004, the State Administration for Industry and Commerce together with the Ministry of Communications, the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Public Security, and the General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine of the People's Republic of China have carried out rectifications on illegal vehicle refitting companies, especially for joint operations in some key areas for centralized rectification to standardize the order of vehicle refitting. behavior.
From June 20, 2004 onwards, for one year, the traffic and public security departments at all levels will carry out centralized management of over-restricted overloaded vehicles in accordance with the requirements of “unified caliber, uniform standards, and unified actionsâ€. Already 28 provinces (cities, districts) have formulated plans to control vehicle overload and overload, and another three provinces (cities, districts) are in the process of formulating governance plans.
After three years of centralized management, the overloading rate of overloaded vehicles in China has been controlled within 10% so far. Nearly 3 million vehicles that have been announced have been restored to approved tonnages using "large-tonnage and small-scale" vehicles.
On June 28, 2003, Jiangsu tonnage charges were in the pilot phase; Qinghai Province began to implement weight-based tolls on the new traffic highway; from September 1, Henan Province implemented weight-based tolls and installed 200 “weights†in the first batch. "Charge" lane device.
On October 28, 2005, the Department of Highways of the Ministry of Communications issued the Guiding Opinions on the Toll-by-weight Measures for Toll Highways. The Ministry of Communications encouraged more provinces and cities to adopt weight-based tolls.
The weight-based charging policy is a manifestation of the "fair and fair" principle of laws and regulations in the road transport industry: "multiple shipments, more money, more use of roads, and more payment." Practice has proved that "weight-based charging" is an important means of managing overload, so that laws and regulations from the root cause of the user to make money by overloading.
As of August 2007, 18 provinces and municipalities have implemented weight-based toll collection on expressways in China, and the mileage of weight-for-weight toll expressways has accounted for 68% of the total length of highways in the country and is expected to reach 88% by the end of the year. It is estimated that by 2010, weight-based tolls will be imposed on more than 90% of highways and provincial highways throughout the country.